{"id":187,"date":"2022-05-03T11:31:50","date_gmt":"2022-05-03T15:31:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/?page_id=187"},"modified":"2024-11-12T10:45:48","modified_gmt":"2024-11-12T15:45:48","slug":"natural-disaster-risk-modeling","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/natural-disaster-risk-modeling\/","title":{"rendered":"Natural Disaster Risk Modeling"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Course syllabus<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Interested in the Natural Disaster RISK modeling course? Here&#8217;s the summary tentative syllabus (updated annually).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Framework\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Effects of natural disasters around the world. Importance of NDRM.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Definitions of risk. The natural risk framework.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Anatomy of cat models. Characterization of severe events.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hazards.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Modeling hurricane hazard. Secondary hazards.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Modeling flood hazard<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Modeling seismic Hazard: Modeling ground motion; PSHA.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Exposure Modeling\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Modeling the infrastructure inventory. Taxonomies of building types.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Estimation of earthquake-caused fatalities.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vulnerability\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Development of hurricane vulnerability functions <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fragility functions (seismic)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Damage functions (flood)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Risk Metrics\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Natural Risk Metrics: stochastic catalogs, key metrics to measure natural risk.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Risk Management Strategies\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Risk Management approaches in other contexts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Acceptable Risk: reduction measures, cost-effectiveness<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Samples from class<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"678\" src=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-1024x678.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-636\" style=\"width:628px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-1024x678.png 1024w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-768x509.png 768w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-1536x1017.png 1536w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/hurricane_erika_1997_flights-2048x1356.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wind speed profiles at flight level from Hurricane Erika (AL071997) near Leewards and Puerto Rico. Data processed from Vigh et al. (2020): FLIGHT+ Tropical Cyclone Data Project, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Study of the effects of the Pocito earthquake (6.4M) and a future earthquake (7.5M) on the building inventory of San Juan, Argentina<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-f9f8795d-6c4e-440f-9804-943bc6c810b9\" href=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Pita_et_al_SanJuan_ICONHIC_ID_388.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Read the project study here.<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Pita_et_al_SanJuan_ICONHIC_ID_388.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-f9f8795d-6c4e-440f-9804-943bc6c810b9\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"871\" src=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-1024x871.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-190\" style=\"width:390px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-1024x871.png 1024w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-300x255.png 300w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-768x653.png 768w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-1536x1306.png 1536w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_050421-2048x1742.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"877\" src=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-1024x877.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-191\" style=\"width:370px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-1024x877.png 1024w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-300x257.png 300w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-768x658.png 768w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-1536x1316.png 1536w, https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/affected_population_collapse_050421-2048x1754.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Course syllabus Interested in the Natural Disaster RISK modeling course? Here&#8217;s the summary tentative syllabus (updated annually). Samples from class Wind speed profiles at flight level from Hurricane Erika (AL071997) near Leewards and Puerto Rico. Data processed from Vigh et al. (2020): FLIGHT+ Tropical Cyclone Data Project, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado. Study [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"disabled","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-187","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/187","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/187\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":738,"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/187\/revisions\/738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/systems.jhu.edu\/gonzalo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}